Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (120-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 13-20 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 27 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 23 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 35 | 7-20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 18 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter