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2024-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +1 (126-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 8-14 0-0 8-8 4 8 0 2 24 - -
Bruce Brown * 36 4-12 1-2 2-2 9 2 2 1 11 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 5-12 1-4 3-4 3 6 4 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 26 6-12 4-8 0-0 1 0 2 0 16 - -
Thaddeus Young * 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Nwora 30 7-16 3-7 7-8 9 6 1 0 24 - -
Gradey Dick 25 5-12 3-5 2-3 5 3 1 0 15 - -
Jontay Porter 19 3-6 3-4 3-4 7 3 2 0 12 - -
Chris Boucher 13 1-2 0-1 3-3 4 0 0 0 5 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 41 8-18 0-6 10-15 13 3 0 0 26 - -
Jalen Johnson * 41 6-17 1-4 4-4 12 5 2 0 17 - -
Trae Young * 41 9-24 1-4 11-12 2 12 2 0 30 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 38 7-11 4-8 6-7 4 2 2 2 24 - -
Clint Capela * 27 9-13 0-0 1-2 14 0 0 1 19 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 20 5-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Patty Mills 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Garrison Mathews 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trent Forrest 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -

* = starter