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2024-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Log Adjusted 19.1% 80.9% -
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Williams Jr. * 36 8-12 2-3 2-4 8 1 0 0 20 - -
David Roddy * 32 5-13 2-7 2-2 5 1 1 1 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 7-17 0-3 11-12 5 4 2 1 25 - -
John Konchar * 29 4-5 1-2 0-0 7 4 0 2 9 - -
Santi Aldama * 27 4-11 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 10 - -
GG Jackson 28 6-9 2-4 4-5 4 1 1 1 18 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 17 1-5 1-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 0-3 0-0 3-6 4 1 1 2 3 - -
Ziaire Williams 13 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Jacob Gilyard 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nesmith * 37 6-11 2-6 2-3 7 6 2 1 16 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 37 5-14 2-5 4-4 4 9 1 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 8-13 0-2 3-3 6 6 2 0 19 - -
Jalen Smith * 30 8-13 3-6 0-0 10 2 0 2 19 - -
Buddy Hield * 19 1-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 9-14 3-5 3-3 7 1 1 1 24 - -
Ben Sheppard 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Obi Toppin 16 1-5 0-2 1-1 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Isaiah Jackson 13 4-6 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 1 10 - -

* = starter