Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -5 (115-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 13-24 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 46 | 9-26 | 1-9 | 9-12 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 38 | 9-16 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 35 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter