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2024-01-28

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +24 (141-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 29 8-14 0-0 7-7 2 2 1 0 23 - -
Brandon Ingram * 27 9-18 2-2 6-8 6 1 0 0 26 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 23 6-8 1-3 0-0 10 6 0 0 13 - -
CJ McCollum * 22 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 4 0 1 7 - -
Herbert Jones * 19 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 9 - -
Jordan Hawkins 29 2-10 2-6 2-2 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Jose Alvarado 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 3-6 2-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Dyson Daniels 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 - -
Naji Marshall 15 3-6 0-0 2-6 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Cody Zeller 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 6 2-3 0-1 4-5 3 0 0 0 8 - -
E.J. Liddell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 34 8-11 6-9 2-2 3 0 1 0 24 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 11-16 1-1 7-11 12 4 2 0 30 - -
Malik Beasley * 28 3-10 1-7 1-2 4 2 2 0 8 - -
Damian Lillard * 28 7-14 3-7 9-10 6 9 2 0 26 - -
Jae Crowder * 22 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 22 9-15 2-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 20 - -
Pat Connaughton 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 17 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 5 2 0 11 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Robin Lopez 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
AJ Green 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Livingston 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter