Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Reed * | 42 | 14-21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 39 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| KJ Martin | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 10-16 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 8-19 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter