Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +16 (125-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 23 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 26 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 12-22 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 25 | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 19 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Josh Hart | 32 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Miles McBride | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter