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2024-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 (30.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -14 (104-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 32 13-27 3-13 1-2 6 4 1 1 30 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 5-12 1-4 1-1 1 9 2 1 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 29 6-12 3-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 17 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 7-10 0-0 1-2 13 1 3 0 15 - -
Deni Avdija * 23 4-8 1-1 1-2 5 2 0 1 10 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 31 2-7 1-3 3-3 7 2 1 1 8 - -
Corey Kispert 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Marvin Bagley III 19 3-7 0-0 7-8 8 2 1 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet 12 1-8 0-2 1-1 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Delon Wright 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 36 5-6 0-0 0-0 18 3 0 0 10 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 35 10-19 4-10 6-7 3 3 1 0 30 - -
Cade Cunningham * 34 7-17 2-3 4-6 4 12 0 0 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 32 3-7 0-2 5-6 7 2 0 0 11 - -
Jaden Ivey * 26 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 2 10 - -
Ausar Thompson 17 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 8 - -
Alec Burks 17 2-9 1-5 3-4 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Mike Muscala 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 10 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Killian Hayes 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 - -
Monte Morris 7 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 - -

* = starter