Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (116-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 40 | 14-27 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 17 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Taze Moore | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 12-20 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 28 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter