Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.2% | 3.8% | -17.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -24 (83-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 20 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 20 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 12 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| E.J. Liddell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter