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2024-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 36 12-27 6-12 2-4 8 6 1 1 32 - -
Jarrett Allen * 35 9-20 0-0 6-7 14 1 1 2 24 - -
Max Strus * 34 3-10 2-7 3-4 7 4 2 0 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 30 1-6 1-2 0-4 1 1 2 2 3 - -
Dean Wade * 21 3-5 3-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 9 - -
Georges Niang 26 3-5 0-2 4-4 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Caris LeVert 24 3-10 1-4 5-6 4 5 1 0 12 - -
Sam Merrill 17 3-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Damian Jones 12 1-3 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 2 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 7-24 2-10 6-6 4 3 1 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 9-13 0-0 4-9 11 9 1 1 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 5-16 2-6 2-2 8 8 2 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 34 4-14 0-4 3-3 12 0 1 2 11 - -
Malik Beasley * 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jae Crowder 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Bobby Portis 21 4-8 3-3 1-2 8 0 1 0 12 - -
Pat Connaughton 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Cameron Payne 11 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter