Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (107-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 38 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 35 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 8-20 | 2-9 | 9-11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 35 | 13-30 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 29 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 29 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter