Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (133-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 22-37 | 6-12 | 12-13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 62 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 37 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 30 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 14-22 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 29 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 33 | 10-15 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 21 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 20 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter