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2024-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 78.0% 22.0% -
Margin 83.3% 16.7% -8.9 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% -
Log Adjusted 79.0% 21.0% -
Points Off/Def 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -34 (104-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 29 5-9 3-5 1-1 3 3 1 6 14 - -
Jalen Green * 28 12-20 1-7 11-12 10 4 2 0 36 - -
Alperen Sengun * 25 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 7 0 1 11 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 3-7 1-3 5-6 0 1 0 1 12 - -
Jeff Green * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Amen Thompson 22 4-6 1-1 4-6 6 8 2 0 13 - -
Cam Whitmore 20 9-18 4-9 2-2 11 2 0 0 24 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 10 - -
Jock Landale 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 6 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Nate Hinton 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Boban Marjanovic 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 35 7-11 2-4 5-5 7 3 1 0 21 - -
Nick Richards * 26 3-6 0-0 8-11 7 1 0 3 14 - -
LaMelo Ball * 23 6-16 2-9 1-2 2 8 2 0 15 - -
Brandon Miller * 19 2-8 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Cody Martin * 19 3-8 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 6 - -
P.J. Washington 28 4-9 0-2 4-5 2 2 0 3 12 - -
Ish Smith 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 17 4-6 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Leaky Black 13 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -
Frank Ntilikina 9 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Nathan Mensah 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 - -
James Bouknight 6 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Bryce McGowens 6 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 8 - -
JT Thor 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 - -

* = starter