Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (143-148). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 44 | 25-33 | 8-13 | 15-16 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 73 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 35 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 32 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 26 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 27 | 9-22 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter