Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -33 (110-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 27 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 20 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 29 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 26 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 23 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter