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2024-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +22 (134-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 36 8-16 2-6 3-5 9 6 1 0 21 - -
Dejounte Murray * 33 7-19 2-7 7-8 7 7 1 0 23 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 32 6-11 4-9 1-1 0 3 1 0 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 26 6-12 3-6 3-3 7 3 1 0 18 - -
Clint Capela * 24 3-9 0-0 5-7 11 1 0 1 11 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 25 3-5 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 6 - -
Patty Mills 21 5-11 3-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Garrison Mathews 20 1-7 0-6 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Trent Forrest 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 5 2 0 0 - -
Seth Lundy 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
AJ Griffin 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 7-16 5-8 6-6 3 8 0 0 25 - -
Klay Thompson * 30 8-18 5-10 3-3 2 3 0 1 24 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 4-11 0-4 4-4 5 1 0 2 12 - -
Dario Saric * 16 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 10 - -
Kevon Looney * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 28 11-11 0-0 3-5 9 2 2 2 25 - -
Brandin Podziemski 26 5-9 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Draymond Green 22 5-6 2-3 0-0 5 3 2 1 12 - -
Cory Joseph 20 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 15 2-4 0-0 0-4 6 1 0 2 4 - -
Gui Santos 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jerome Robinson 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Lester Quinones 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter