Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -23 (109-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 17-23 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 46 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 3 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 11-24 | 4-11 | 8-12 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 11 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 34 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter