Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -26 (114-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 12-12 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 18 | 9-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley * | 28 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter