Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 35 | 5-21 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 32 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| David Roddy * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 26 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 17 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 28 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 15 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter