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2024-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 79.2% 20.8% -
Margin 93.1% 6.9% -14.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -
Points Off/Def 76.1% 23.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (107-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 11-24 2-10 3-3 6 3 0 1 27 13 -
Rudy Gobert * 34 7-11 0-0 5-6 16 1 0 4 19 29 -
Anthony Edwards * 34 11-28 3-10 13-14 3 5 1 0 38 19 -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 5-11 1-4 2-2 5 0 2 0 13 9 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 30 2-4 1-3 1-2 5 5 1 0 6 13 -
Kyle Anderson 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 5 0 0 3 9 -
Naz Reid 20 2-9 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 5 3 -
Shake Milton 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 2 5 -
Jordan McLaughlin 13 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 6 -
Wendell Moore Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Luka Garza 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 37 7-12 4-5 6-6 6 6 0 0 24 24 -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 5-11 3-8 4-4 14 8 0 1 17 29 -
Tyus Jones * 32 2-7 0-2 1-2 2 6 0 0 5 6 -
Jordan Poole * 28 2-11 1-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 7 1 -
Daniel Gafford * 21 5-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 10 13 -
Marvin Bagley III 25 7-8 0-0 3-8 15 0 1 0 17 25 -
Bilal Coulibaly 20 2-7 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 -2 -
Corey Kispert 16 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 7 5 -
Landry Shamet 12 1-3 1-1 6-6 1 2 0 0 9 9 -
Delon Wright 8 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 1 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Anthony Gill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Trey Jemison 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter