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2024-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 40 7-21 3-9 3-4 10 2 2 0 20 - -
Brandon Miller * 38 8-17 5-10 2-3 7 4 0 1 23 - -
LaMelo Ball * 31 6-21 1-8 4-4 4 7 1 0 17 - -
Nick Richards * 26 9-13 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 1 21 - -
Cody Martin * 24 1-4 0-2 3-4 3 3 1 0 5 - -
P.J. Washington 28 4-6 4-6 0-0 6 5 1 1 12 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Ish Smith 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Mensah 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Leaky Black 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 33 12-23 5-10 5-6 4 4 0 0 34 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 33 4-8 1-2 2-4 8 2 1 0 11 - -
Killian Hayes * 26 2-3 1-2 1-3 7 8 0 0 6 - -
Jaden Ivey * 21 4-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Jalen Duren * 21 7-9 0-0 0-1 8 2 0 0 14 - -
Ausar Thompson 26 3-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 7 - -
Alec Burks 25 4-11 4-9 3-4 0 1 0 0 15 - -
Mike Muscala 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Kevin Knox II 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Marcus Sasser 12 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Monte Morris 11 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -

* = starter