Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +2 (111-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 25 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-24 | 0-3 | 13-17 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter