Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +15 (122-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 40 | 11-23 | 6-10 | 7-8 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 4-18 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 23 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 10-20 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 6 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter