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2024-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (115-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 40 10-14 4-5 2-2 10 9 2 0 26 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 39 8-17 1-3 4-6 5 3 1 0 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 9-17 1-5 0-0 17 7 0 0 19 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 5-12 5-11 0-0 4 3 0 3 15 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 5-12 3-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 30 6-11 0-2 1-2 1 0 2 1 13 - -
Andre Drummond 11 2-4 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Dalen Terry 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 40 16-32 6-15 5-6 6 8 1 2 43 - -
Devin Booker * 40 6-11 2-6 2-3 4 5 1 0 16 - -
Bradley Beal * 37 7-17 2-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 18 - -
Grayson Allen * 35 3-6 3-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 2 8 - -
Drew Eubanks 22 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 4 0 0 10 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 5 - -
Josh Okogie 13 1-3 0-2 2-4 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Saben Lee 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter