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Boston Celtics 119
@
Dallas Mavericks 110
2024-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Margin 78.1% 21.9% -7.0 ✓ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% - ✓

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (110-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 11-21 2-8 15-19 11 5 3 2 39 - -
Jrue Holiday * 38 6-13 5-12 0-0 7 6 0 1 17 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 13-22 2-7 6-9 3 4 0 2 34 - -
Derrick White * 34 2-12 1-7 1-2 4 1 2 1 6 - -
Al Horford * 31 4-7 3-6 0-0 6 3 1 0 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 7 6 1 1 5 - -
Luke Kornet 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 - -
Sam Hauser 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 39 12-30 2-8 7-11 18 13 2 0 33 - -
Josh Green * 37 5-11 4-7 0-0 7 1 0 0 14 - -
Kyrie Irving * 35 9-20 3-7 2-2 6 3 2 0 23 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 25 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Dereck Lively II * 24 3-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 6 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 31 8-13 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 20 - -
Maxi Kleber 25 3-7 0-3 1-1 2 0 0 2 7 - -
Grant Williams 17 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jaden Hardy 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter