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2024-01-23

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 61.0% 39.0% -2.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% -
Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% -
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +10 (133-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 37 7-13 2-6 6-6 4 9 0 0 22 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 33 5-12 3-6 1-2 8 4 0 1 14 - -
Tre Jones * 33 5-7 0-1 2-2 4 6 2 0 12 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 28 10-19 2-5 11-12 7 2 0 2 33 - -
Julian Champagnie * 14 3-4 3-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Doug McDermott 21 5-12 3-9 0-0 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Keldon Johnson 20 4-12 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Zach Collins 19 0-7 0-5 1-2 6 4 0 0 1 - -
Blake Wesley 18 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Cedi Osman 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 41 7-15 2-5 2-2 4 8 0 0 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 24-41 1-2 21-23 18 5 1 1 70 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 5-11 0-5 4-4 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Nicolas Batum * 32 2-4 1-3 0-0 8 6 3 0 5 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 24 3-6 0-1 2-5 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Danuel House Jr. 23 2-4 1-3 3-6 2 1 0 0 8 - -
KJ Martin 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Paul Reed 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 6 - -
Ricky Council IV 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terquavion Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter