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2024-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% -
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% -
Points Off/Def 67.0% 33.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (113-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 4-15 2-10 7-8 5 8 1 0 17 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 11-25 1-5 8-12 17 10 3 2 31 - -
Brook Lopez * 35 6-9 1-2 2-2 11 3 0 4 15 - -
Malik Beasley * 34 5-14 3-8 0-0 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Khris Middleton * 31 9-14 2-5 6-6 2 2 2 0 26 - -
Bobby Portis 25 2-5 0-3 3-4 4 0 0 1 7 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 19 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 1 8 - -
Jae Crowder 11 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Pat Connaughton 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 32 5-14 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 1 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 5-14 1-4 6-7 3 6 0 0 17 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 22 6-12 2-4 1-2 1 1 0 1 15 - -
Killian Hayes * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 1 2 - -
Kevin Knox II * 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Stewart 28 5-9 2-6 7-8 8 2 2 5 19 - -
Alec Burks 27 3-12 3-9 0-0 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Marcus Sasser 26 9-17 0-4 5-5 1 3 1 0 23 - -
Ausar Thompson 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Mike Muscala 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 - -
Danilo Gallinari 9 3-4 1-1 2-3 3 2 0 0 9 - -

* = starter