Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 31 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 18 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 25 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 14 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 18-25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 40 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 9-24 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 32 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter