Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 11-21 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 32 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser * | 30 | 3-12 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 30 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 40 | 8-22 | 5-15 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 36 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 18 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter