Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.6% | 8.4% | -13.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-23 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 15-20 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 42 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 17 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 16 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - |
* = starter