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2024-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Log Adjusted 18.5% 81.5% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: New York Knicks +26 (126-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 32 4-14 0-3 1-3 6 7 0 2 9 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 4-8 2-4 2-3 2 11 1 0 12 - -
RJ Barrett * 28 8-15 1-3 3-9 8 4 1 0 20 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 25 6-10 4-8 0-0 1 0 1 1 16 - -
Jontay Porter * 21 2-8 0-2 2-2 2 1 3 1 6 - -
Bruce Brown 22 3-8 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Dennis Schroder 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Gradey Dick 16 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 11 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 4 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Garrett Temple 4 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 36 5-11 0-3 4-4 7 1 1 3 14 - -
Jalen Brunson * 35 13-23 5-11 7-7 5 9 1 0 38 - -
Julius Randle * 32 7-13 3-7 1-2 16 10 0 0 18 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 20 7-12 2-7 1-3 3 1 1 0 17 - -
Josh Hart 26 3-5 2-3 2-2 9 1 0 1 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa 24 9-10 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 18 - -
Quentin Grimes 19 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Miles McBride 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jericho Sims 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter