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2024-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.6% 36.4% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 60.1% 39.9% -
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -21 (95-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 35 6-17 0-6 6-6 6 8 0 1 18 - -
Isaac Okoro * 33 5-9 1-3 1-3 5 2 2 0 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 6-8 0-0 2-2 11 2 3 3 14 - -
Dean Wade * 25 6-7 5-6 0-0 5 0 1 0 17 - -
Max Strus * 20 5-10 1-4 2-2 3 7 1 0 13 - -
Sam Merrill 30 6-16 5-14 1-1 4 6 0 0 18 - -
Georges Niang 21 5-9 4-8 0-0 5 2 0 1 14 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 3 0 0 4 - -
Tristan Thompson 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 6 - -
Pete Nance 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 34 10-19 2-7 2-2 9 5 1 0 24 - -
Jalen Johnson * 33 8-16 1-5 3-6 7 4 1 2 20 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 0-12 0-6 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 - -
Trae Young * 28 6-12 3-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 15 - -
Clint Capela * 22 3-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 2 6 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 28 5-11 1-6 3-4 2 4 1 0 14 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 22 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 0 1 - -
Garrison Mathews 14 1-3 1-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Patty Mills 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Trent Forrest 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Seth Lundy 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
AJ Griffin 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter