Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (127-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 28 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Bagley III * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 28 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 24 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 22 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter