Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (135-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 38 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 11-22 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 12-22 | 5-11 | 16-16 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 32 | 10-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 29 | 9-20 | 7-14 | 8-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 13 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter