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Indiana Pacers 115
@
Portland Trail Blazers 118
2024-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 ✓ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 68.0% 32.0% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (118-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 36 6-13 6-11 0-0 6 7 1 1 18 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 9-14 1-3 2-6 6 3 1 0 21 - -
Myles Turner * 34 10-17 6-10 3-3 12 1 0 5 29 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 6-14 2-7 7-9 2 17 0 0 21 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 28 4-9 3-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 23 0-8 0-5 2-3 3 0 0 0 2 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Smith 13 2-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Obi Toppin 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Ben Sheppard 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 42 14-28 1-4 8-11 4 3 1 2 37 - -
Jabari Walker * 41 4-11 0-2 5-6 12 3 0 1 13 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 37 9-18 2-4 10-10 7 6 1 1 30 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 6-15 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 27 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 2 4 - -
Toumani Camara 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Duop Reath 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 2 3 - -
Kris Murray 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Scoot Henderson 7 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 10 - -
Justin Minaya 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter