Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (104-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 11-22 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 31 | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Dante Exum | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 5-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 20 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Chris Paul | 19 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter