Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -14 (109-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 18-30 | 6-11 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 52 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 11-19 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 25 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 32 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 16 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter