Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (108-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 39 | 9-22 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 25 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 24 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter