Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 41 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 14-22 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 15-21 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 9-24 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 6-19 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 9-18 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al Horford | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter