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2024-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -5 (121-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 37 11-21 2-6 1-1 3 4 1 2 25 - -
Buddy Hield * 36 4-9 2-6 2-2 5 8 1 1 12 - -
T.J. McConnell * 32 9-14 0-0 2-3 1 10 1 0 20 - -
Myles Turner * 32 6-12 1-4 5-7 2 1 0 1 18 - -
Jalen Smith * 24 6-7 1-2 4-4 13 1 0 1 17 - -
Ben Sheppard 28 2-5 2-3 1-2 4 2 2 0 7 - -
Obi Toppin 24 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 1 10 - -
Jarace Walker 19 6-13 3-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Isaiah Jackson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 8-20 3-7 5-9 6 6 1 0 24 - -
Keegan Murray * 38 11-18 1-5 4-5 9 0 2 1 27 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 8-13 0-1 5-8 11 10 0 1 21 - -
Kevin Huerter * 38 11-17 7-12 2-2 2 4 1 1 31 - -
Harrison Barnes * 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Malik Monk 26 3-9 2-6 1-6 3 4 1 2 9 - -
Trey Lyles 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 10 2-3 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 7 - -
Alex Len 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Keon Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter