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2024-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 9-20 0-4 6-7 7 6 1 0 24 - -
Coby White * 35 10-19 1-6 2-3 8 4 2 0 23 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 12-20 0-3 0-0 14 7 2 1 24 - -
Alex Caruso * 27 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 4 2 2 10 - -
Zach LaVine * 24 3-7 1-3 1-1 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 32 4-9 0-1 2-2 1 5 0 1 10 - -
Patrick Williams 23 5-9 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 12 - -
Dalen Terry 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 9 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Jevon Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 11-18 2-6 7-9 7 6 3 3 31 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 6-16 1-6 4-5 4 6 1 0 17 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 34 4-10 2-7 2-2 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 3-8 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Jontay Porter * 19 3-6 2-5 2-2 4 4 1 2 10 - -
Dennis Schroder 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 5 0 0 7 - -
Bruce Brown 24 7-10 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 15 - -
Chris Boucher 17 2-4 1-3 1-2 9 2 0 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -

* = starter