Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +17 (127-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 12-24 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 32 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 5-17 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 26 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 35 | 11-20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 33 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 29 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter