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2024-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Log Adjusted 10.5% 89.5% -
Points Off/Def 17.6% 82.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +20 (132-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 34 8-20 3-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 19 - -
Terry Rozier * 32 9-15 7-11 0-0 2 4 1 1 25 - -
LaMelo Ball * 31 8-19 4-12 9-10 5 7 2 0 29 - -
Nick Richards * 30 4-5 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 2 10 - -
Cody Martin * 27 2-9 1-5 2-2 4 4 2 0 7 - -
P.J. Washington 23 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 2 7 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 17 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Nathan Mensah 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Ish Smith 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -
JT Thor 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
James Bouknight 3 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Leaky Black 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Frank Ntilikina 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 8-19 7-11 5-5 10 10 3 0 28 - -
CJ McCollum * 28 8-15 4-9 2-2 5 6 0 2 22 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 5-11 0-0 3-4 5 9 3 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Herbert Jones * 23 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Jordan Hawkins 24 7-12 6-9 1-2 6 1 1 0 21 - -
Trey Murphy III 23 6-13 5-12 1-2 5 1 1 0 18 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 3-3 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 7 - -
Naji Marshall 17 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Jose Alvarado 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Cody Zeller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter