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2024-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (31.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +40 (135-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 25 7-20 1-5 2-3 2 5 2 0 17 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 5-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 3 11 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 23 3-4 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 6 - -
Malik Beasley * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Khris Middleton * 19 1-10 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Bobby Portis 21 6-11 1-4 3-4 6 3 1 0 16 - -
Jae Crowder 19 5-13 4-10 1-2 1 0 1 0 15 - -
AJ Green 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Cameron Payne 13 5-9 2-5 1-1 0 1 1 0 13 - -
Pat Connaughton 13 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Chris Livingston 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Robin Lopez 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 25 12-19 4-8 3-4 5 7 3 0 31 - -
Isaac Okoro * 25 5-7 0-0 0-1 3 7 1 1 10 - -
Jarrett Allen * 25 9-15 0-0 3-3 13 3 0 1 21 - -
Max Strus * 21 2-4 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 1 6 - -
Dean Wade * 20 2-5 1-4 0-1 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Georges Niang 27 13-14 5-6 2-3 5 2 0 0 33 - -
Sam Merrill 22 4-8 2-6 0-0 5 5 0 0 10 - -
Caris LeVert 21 1-7 0-2 2-3 3 4 0 0 4 - -
Tristan Thompson 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 6 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 19 4-7 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Damian Jones 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter