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2024-01-18

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 28.9% 71.1% -
Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -
Points Off/Def 15.2% 84.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (117-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 32 7-15 0-5 7-8 2 3 1 0 21 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 30 2-9 1-4 0-0 7 4 3 1 5 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 26 10-19 2-6 5-6 5 1 0 1 27 - -
Tre Jones * 26 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 11 0 0 9 - -
Julian Champagnie * 17 4-8 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Keldon Johnson 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Dominick Barlow 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Malaki Branham 16 4-9 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Cedi Osman 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Blake Wesley 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Devonte' Graham 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Mamadi Diakite 4 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 9-21 3-8 3-5 5 2 0 0 24 - -
Jaylen Brown * 31 8-16 3-6 2-2 7 5 1 1 21 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 8-14 6-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 22 - -
Luke Kornet * 30 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 4 1 3 6 - -
Al Horford * 24 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 4-10 2-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 12 - -
Sam Hauser 20 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 12 2-5 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Neemias Queta 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JD Davison 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Walsh 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter