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2024-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% -
Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (106-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 38 8-25 1-5 9-11 4 4 2 1 26 - -
Chuma Okeke * 29 3-9 0-4 0-0 7 1 3 1 6 - -
Jalen Suggs * 27 6-7 3-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 16 - -
Goga Bitadze * 24 5-8 0-1 0-0 10 3 1 2 10 - -
Caleb Houstan * 13 1-7 1-7 0-1 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Markelle Fultz 30 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 10 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 24 6-7 3-4 3-4 5 2 2 1 18 - -
Cole Anthony 21 3-10 1-6 3-4 1 1 1 3 10 - -
Joe Ingles 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 - -
Jonathan Isaac 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 - -
Anthony Black 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 38 3-9 1-2 3-5 9 3 2 0 10 - -
Trae Young * 38 5-14 1-6 7-7 3 12 1 0 18 - -
Dejounte Murray * 36 11-18 1-4 3-3 5 5 2 0 26 - -
Saddiq Bey * 35 1-7 1-5 4-4 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Clint Capela * 27 6-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 7-12 0-1 1-1 9 0 0 1 15 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 23 4-7 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 1 12 - -
Garrison Mathews 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -

* = starter