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2024-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 โœ— (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.9% 14.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons -7 (117-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 37 8-11 0-0 3-4 16 2 0 1 19 - -
Anthony Edwards * 33 10-24 3-8 4-4 5 8 0 0 27 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 10-17 5-5 2-2 6 4 0 0 27 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 8-11 3-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 23 - -
Mike Conley * 29 3-8 2-6 0-1 3 7 1 1 8 - -
Naz Reid 23 3-9 1-4 2-4 4 1 3 0 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 7 - -
Kyle Anderson 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 9 1 2 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 35 13-22 4-6 2-2 4 6 1 0 32 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 7-13 3-7 3-4 5 3 0 1 20 - -
Jalen Duren * 30 8-14 0-0 0-1 11 3 0 0 16 - -
Killian Hayes * 26 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 8 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 24 4-9 2-5 2-2 4 2 1 3 12 - -
Ausar Thompson 21 3-6 0-2 1-5 9 1 0 1 7 - -
Alec Burks 20 3-10 1-4 5-5 1 1 2 0 12 - -
Kevin Knox II 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Mike Muscala 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 - -
Marcus Sasser 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -

* = starter