Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (126-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 11-20 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 42 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 38 | 13-22 | 3-6 | 12-15 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 37 | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 34 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Paul Reed | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter