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2024-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 86.7% 13.3% -10.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 34 10-18 2-4 3-4 3 6 3 0 25 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 9-19 1-6 5-5 3 6 1 1 24 - -
Chet Holmgren * 30 4-9 1-4 0-0 8 4 1 3 9 - -
Luguentz Dort * 29 4-9 3-8 0-0 7 1 1 0 11 - -
Josh Giddey * 21 2-8 2-5 2-2 5 3 0 1 8 - -
Isaiah Joe 20 2-10 0-6 0-0 7 1 2 0 4 - -
Cason Wallace 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 2 1 5 - -
Kenrich Williams 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Vasilije Micic 15 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Ousmane Dieng 12 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaylin Williams 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 12-20 1-2 0-1 7 6 0 0 25 - -
Anthony Davis * 38 9-17 0-1 9-10 15 5 2 1 27 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 35 5-12 2-7 2-2 2 6 2 1 14 - -
Austin Reaves * 33 6-10 1-3 2-2 3 7 0 1 15 - -
Taurean Prince * 30 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 - -
Rui Hachimura 20 5-8 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 12 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 18 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 2 3 0 5 - -
Christian Wood 13 4-7 1-2 2-2 7 1 0 3 11 - -
Max Christie 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter